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Grapes (老葡萄) 于 (Tue Feb 6 17:45:25 2007) 提到:

哈哈


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hetchhetchy (哈欠) 于 (Tue Feb 6 17:46:21 2007) 提到:

Good point. Just don't pray it is both good investment and good living; or
wait for the next surge. Plan to stay in the house for 5+ years.



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nbc (nbc) 于 (Tue Feb 6 17:46:23 2007) 提到:

我唱衰弯曲工作市场,同时也不看好房市,不过估计不会暴跌。



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BOXSTER (每天赚钱多一些,每天灌水少一些) 于 (Tue Feb 6 17:46:28 2007) 提到:

我心里是跟金鱼的希望一样的,希望房子暴跌
但我和他的区别是我知道那是个不可能的DREAM,他仍然相信可能实现


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nbc (nbc) 于 (Tue Feb 6 17:47:06 2007) 提到:

so if the price is high and the rate is high, who's gonna jump the house
keng?



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sevens (七七) 于 (Tue Feb 6 17:47:26 2007) 提到:

nbc 是金鱼派的新锐. 正赶上我刚忙完一段,这两天比较闲.要煽风点火赶紧.明天说不
定又忙起来了.



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QQMJ (不要告诉偶老公偶是谁。) 于 (Tue Feb 6 17:47:29 2007) 提到:


他们都用英语挖房坑,著名的烂英语katie同学就不能跳了。
惨。

同情一把。



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BOXSTER (每天赚钱多一些,每天灌水少一些) 于 (Tue Feb 6 17:47:35 2007) 提到:

短期内大规模LAYOFF不太可能,看CSCO这阵势。。。


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BOXSTER (每天赚钱多一些,每天灌水少一些) 于 (Tue Feb 6 17:48:25 2007) 提到:

不同意,至少NBC很鄙视金鱼没事就狂扁弯曲怀念鸟不拉屎地方的态度


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easyfm (T-MAC) 于 (Tue Feb 6 17:48:28 2007) 提到:

yeah. I could give you a way cheaper money if you like.
saying , you buy a a dime from me with a "your" buck with a downpayment of 3
dimes.
and you could pay only 4% interest on the remaining balance in 30 years(or
market rate).
I am definitely ok with that for sure.
The key issue here is not the (float) rate itself. but the price tag.



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jajabin (龘) 于 (Tue Feb 6 17:48:33 2007) 提到:

我是刚需,我希望股票暴涨,房价暴跌,虽然这个可能性更小



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easyfm (T-MAC) 于 (Tue Feb 6 17:49:04 2007) 提到:

no big rising is already a big diving.



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BOXSTER (每天赚钱多一些,每天灌水少一些) 于 (Tue Feb 6 17:49:14 2007) 提到:

其实我特喜欢看你写英文,我觉得有CHALLENG有趣味,太难的题我不会,但FIGURE OUT
你要说什么我觉得我已经精通了


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tonyxu (无斋主人) 于 (Tue Feb 6 17:49:32 2007) 提到:

Job market will be good for the next couple years,
cuz most companies make profit, there is no bubble
in the company, unlike year 2000.

However, real estate market could crash, cuz there
is a bubble in bay are real estate.



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nbc (nbc) 于 (Tue Feb 6 17:49:50 2007) 提到:

不全是,他是理论派。我不看房价图表。



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BOXSTER (每天赚钱多一些,每天灌水少一些) 于 (Tue Feb 6 17:49:55 2007) 提到:

我希望都跌,LAYOFF,然后我正好回国


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nbc (nbc) 于 (Tue Feb 6 17:51:07 2007) 提到:

这玩意很难说,Sun倒下也就一年的功夫。



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tonyxu (无斋主人) 于 (Tue Feb 6 17:51:27 2007) 提到:

you forget something called "刚性需求",
when you need a house, no matter how high it is,
you will buy. Believe it or not!





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QQMJ (不要告诉偶老公偶是谁。) 于 (Tue Feb 6 17:52:07 2007) 提到:

FT.
但是我觉得你还不够强。

原来我在学校时候有一个老印officemate那才真叫强。

我想说蚊子,就m, m, mm.... 半天,然后煽煽翅膀,他就能知道我要说蚊子。

类似的还有很多。



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jajabin (龘) 于 (Tue Feb 6 17:52:21 2007) 提到:

good没来,不然他要告诉你telecom复苏了



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xterm (lemontea) 于 (Tue Feb 6 17:52:42 2007) 提到:

actually i agree with qaz's point just now.

some people may just view house as pure investment like goldrain, or have
better investment channel, like whom, maybe easyfm. of course, then if you
are not that sure you can make money from the investment, you either invest
other places, or hold the cash. it makes perfect sense for them, but not
necessarily for everyone.


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Grapes (老葡萄) 于 (Tue Feb 6 17:52:47 2007) 提到:

你再这样下去非吧凯蒂的老公招来不可 //run



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sevens (七七) 于 (Tue Feb 6 17:53:11 2007) 提到:

1 is different opinion for different people. No one can prove who is right.
We have to wait.

For your second opinion, does it make sense to buy in PA in early 1900 when
it is booming and hold it for 5 years? Of course yes. Hold it for more than
100 years? of course not. I still believe in the time horizon of 5-10 years,
it make sense to buy in the near future. The change you are talking maybe
happen, but it is too distance.




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nbc (nbc) 于 (Tue Feb 6 17:53:15 2007) 提到:

哈哈。前些日子有国内同学狂扁美国,说什么这几年感觉美国越来越差,
我也鄙视之,我心说你就去个vegas你就来扁美国了。



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jajabin (龘) 于 (Tue Feb 6 17:54:10 2007) 提到:

你要f, f, ff.... 半天,然后煽翅膀, 他估计就猜不出来了



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equator (大方块-羡鱼) 于 (Tue Feb 6 17:54:33 2007) 提到:

工作稳定而房事垮掉,我认为只有一种情况,就是投资的人太多,弯曲这点还好,AZ,
DENVER,UTAH这种地方才真正危险。



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easyfm (T-MAC) 于 (Tue Feb 6 17:54:40 2007) 提到:

yeah. most "刚性需求" are just faked "刚性需求"
1. If you know that your 2M house would drop to 1M in 2 years , will you buy?
just an extreme case.

2. you could rent way better condition house with all kind of flexibility
such as good school, good living condtion, convient location, easy to switch
... while at the same time the landlord pays money to your for your living.



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xterm (lemontea) 于 (Tue Feb 6 17:54:53 2007) 提到:

csco stock up. 30K engineer here. the lowest rank makes 10w probably. the 3K
manager level make 50w probably. let alone Juniper probably will have
similar effect. Guess, it is highly unlikely the house price, especially
entry level goes down.


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QQMJ (不要告诉偶老公偶是谁。) 于 (Tue Feb 6 17:55:00 2007) 提到:

nod. 但是有些ppl就是筑巢本能特别强,想我。

无论走到那里,只要可能,第一件事儿就是弄套自己的窝。

然后把自己的烂东西均匀的撒在里面以式所有权。 哈哈。



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QQMJ (不要告诉偶老公偶是谁。) 于 (Tue Feb 6 17:56:14 2007) 提到:

fff..ff.f... 这个是什么?



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jajabin (龘) 于 (Tue Feb 6 17:57:03 2007) 提到:

苍蝇,不过他可能会想岔了



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nbc (nbc) 于 (Tue Feb 6 17:57:27 2007) 提到:

I partially agree that mass layoff might not happen in
traditional IT companies, such as CSCO, MSFT, IBM or so,
but for these new Web 2.0 upstarts... I can hardly see
enough revenue stream and customer space for them to
sustain their business. And new jobs are mostly in this
area.



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QQMJ (不要告诉偶老公偶是谁。) 于 (Tue Feb 6 17:57:49 2007) 提到:

FT le.....
this word too easy, even I know .


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nbc (nbc) 于 (Tue Feb 6 17:57:50 2007) 提到:

同回,坐玛丽二皇后回



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hetchhetchy (哈欠) 于 (Tue Feb 6 17:58:35 2007) 提到:

There are a lot of investors in the bay area, if Goldenrain's data are right
.


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easyfm (T-MAC) 于 (Tue Feb 6 17:59:04 2007) 提到:

me 3.


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nbc (nbc) 于 (Tue Feb 6 17:59:24 2007) 提到:

what kind of need is that?



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QQMJ (不要告诉偶老公偶是谁。) 于 (Tue Feb 6 18:00:14 2007) 提到:

看来还是剑走偏锋容易出名。

金鱼就贴几个图,现在俨然是本板第一房坑ID了。



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equator (大方块-羡鱼) 于 (Tue Feb 6 18:00:58 2007) 提到:

你就挖了几个小坑,现在俨然是本板坑后。。。。。



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easyfm (T-MAC) 于 (Tue Feb 6 18:01:01 2007) 提到:

a typical chinese story.
a shanghai girl said "I would not marry you if you have no house" and you
live her to death and not convince her.



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easyfm (T-MAC) 于 (Tue Feb 6 18:01:15 2007) 提到:

sm


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equator (大方块-羡鱼) 于 (Tue Feb 6 18:02:07 2007) 提到:

不懂的说。



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QQMJ (不要告诉偶老公偶是谁。) 于 (Tue Feb 6 18:02:38 2007) 提到:

嗯,偶都不挖坑久以,难道没有注音到



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tonyxu (无斋主人) 于 (Tue Feb 6 18:03:37 2007) 提到:




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QQMJ (不要告诉偶老公偶是谁。) 于 (Tue Feb 6 18:03:43 2007) 提到:

co-
不懂
我猜不是好话
傻冒?



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nbc (nbc) 于 (Tue Feb 6 18:03:47 2007) 提到:

It's already happening big time, the India/China Centers hire people like
picking cabbage from the farmers market. It takes a couple of years for
the company to reorganize its structure to adapt the change, it won't
take that long.

Again, we're talking about new grad couples taking *5 mortgages at 0 down.
They run high risks of being the next victims of a bubble.




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BOXSTER (每天赚钱多一些,每天灌水少一些) 于 (Tue Feb 6 18:03:57 2007) 提到:

恩,我还要学习。


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QQMJ (不要告诉偶老公偶是谁。) 于 (Tue Feb 6 18:05:12 2007) 提到:

嗯,有助于锻炼自动究错能力



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tonyxu (无斋主人) 于 (Tue Feb 6 18:05:37 2007) 提到:

web2.0 is just in its infancy,
Even all busted, it won't impact so much.



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